State of Developer Conversation 2026
Bluesky out-talks Hacker News
We tracked public conversation about 48 developer tools for 30 days. With bots and feeds removed, Bluesky still carried 1.9x the conversation of Hacker News. Stack Overflow got 968 new questions in October.
Octolens research · Published · Data from Sep 30 to Oct 29, 2026
- Bluesky against Hacker News
- 1.9x
Bluesky against Hacker News
Relevant dev-tool mentions a day, with bots and feeds removed.
- New Stack Overflow questions
- 968
New Stack Overflow questions
In October 2026. October 2015 had 186,031.
- Non-AI tool mentions that bring up AI
- 1 in 3
Non-AI tool mentions that bring up AI
We checked this against a labeled sample of 600 mentions.
Relevant mentions a day, 48 developer tools
Summary
Nine findings
- 1.9xmore dev-tool conversation on Bluesky than on Hacker News, bots and feeds removed
- 99.5%drop in new Stack Overflow questions, October 2015 to October 2026
- 46%of the public product questions we found sit in GitHub issues
- 72%of relevant conversation happens on GitHub issues, X and Reddit
- 19%of non-bug Hacker News mentions are negative, the highest we measured
- +16net sentiment for frameworks and databases, against +2 for observability
- 32%of raw keyword matches were about the tool people searched for
- 36%of mentions of non-AI dev tools also bring up AI
- 186posts named both Claude Code and Cursor, the top pair in our sample
Finding 1 · The rooms
Bluesky out-talks Hacker News
as many relevant dev-tool mentions a day on Bluesky as on Hacker News, bots and feeds removed
Across 48 developer tools, Bluesky logged 638 relevant mentions a day and Hacker News logged 227. Before cleanup, that looks like nearly 3x. Status-page relays, job boards, trending-repo feeds and accounts that repost Hacker News made up 33% of Bluesky's volume, so we removed them. People alone still posted 430 relevant mentions a day.
The two rooms talk differently. 82% of Hacker News mentions are comments under a story, so the talk clusters around the links that reach the front page. On Bluesky, 74% of what people post are standalone posts, not replies.
We counted posts, not readers. One Hacker News front-page thread can reach more people than hundreds of Bluesky posts, so this measures how much developers talk, and says nothing about influence. Depending on how strictly we define a bot, the ratio lands from 1.9x to 2.1x.
- relevant Bluesky mentions a day from people
- 430
- relevant Hacker News mentions a day
- 227
- of Bluesky's volume came from bots and feeds
- 33%
“It’s been absolutely delightful building a Svelte-assed Svelte app with SQLite and Litestream backups.”
How each room talks, relevant mentions a day
With bots removed, Bluesky carried 1.9x the developer-tool conversation of Hacker News in October 2026.
Finding 2 · The decline
Stack Overflow went quiet
new public questions on Stack Overflow in October 2026
Is Stack Overflow dead? As a place to ask new questions, close to it. Developers asked 186,031 questions there in October 2015 and 968 in October 2026. The best month on record was March 2014, with 207,169.
The slide began years before AI chat tools. October counts fell 43% between 2015 and 2022. The fall sped up after ChatGPT launched in November 2022: down 51% in 2023, 56% in 2024, 77% in 2025 and 82% in 2026. We can show the timing, and this data can't prove the cause.
Our month of tracking agrees. Across 48 tools we logged about 9 Stack Overflow keyword matches a day, out of 15,408 across every platform. The archive stays online, and we didn't measure how many people still read it.
- fewer questions than October 2015
- 99.5%
- answers in October 2026, down from 137,375 in October 2022
- 2,310
- of our keyword matches came from Stack Overflow
- 1 in 1,758
New questions on Stack Overflow each October
October 2026
968 questions
View the data
| October | New questions |
|---|---|
| 2012 | 149,907 |
| 2013 | 183,850 |
| 2014 | 172,631 |
| 2015 | 186,031 |
| 2016 | 175,229 |
| 2017 | 169,634 |
| 2018 | 160,372 |
| 2019 | 152,587 |
| 2020 | 141,749 |
| 2021 | 118,763 |
| 2022 | 105,743 |
| 2023 | 52,333 |
| 2024 | 23,161 |
| 2025 | 5,262 |
| 2026 | 968 |
Stack Overflow received 968 new public questions in October 2026, down 99.5% from 186,031 in October 2015.
Finding 3 · The questions
Where the questions went
of the public product questions we found sit in GitHub issues
Developers still ask about their tools in public. We tagged 21% of relevant mentions as a product question, and almost none of them were on Stack Overflow.
A GitHub issue goes to the maintainers. A post on X goes to whoever follows you. Neither builds the shared archive of answers that Stack Overflow did.
We can't see the questions people ask ChatGPT or Claude. Those stay private, so this chart only covers questions asked in public.
- of relevant mentions ask a product question
- 21%
- of those questions are on X
- 20%
- of those questions are on Reddit
- 19%
“What are you using for observability and monitoring in your AI projects? Datadog, LangSmith, Logfire, or something else?”
Share of public product questions
46% of public product questions about 48 developer tools sit in GitHub issues, with 20% on X and 19% on Reddit.
Finding 4 · The map
Where developers talk
of relevant conversation happens on GitHub issues, X and Reddit
Three platforms hold most of the conversation about developer tools. GitHub issues and X are nearly level, and Reddit follows. Collection hit its limit on the biggest tools, so treat these shares as estimates.
Bluesky comes fourth. Even with its bots removed, it carries more than Hacker News, TikTok, DEV and LinkedIn combined (362 a day). We only measured automation on Bluesky and Hacker News, so this chart shows every platform before bot removal.
- GitHub issues
- 27%
- X
- 27%
- 18%
“how is fly.io/ compared to something like cloudflare or digitalocean?”
Share of relevant conversation
GitHub issues, X and Reddit carry about 72% of public conversation about developer tools.
Finding 5 · The mood
Hacker News is the toughest room
of non-bug Hacker News mentions are negative, the highest we measured
We removed bug reports before comparing platforms, because a bug report reads as negative by nature. Hacker News comes out as the harshest place to get discussed, and Reddit is about as positive as X (41% against 42%).
GitHub issues show why the adjustment matters. With bug reports included, 26% of GitHub mentions are negative. Without them, 7% are, and 83% are neutral working conversation.
TikTok is the friendliest platform, at 55% positive. It stays at 51% after we remove promotional posts.
- negative on X and on Reddit
- 13%
- positive on TikTok, the friendliest platform
- 55%
- of GitHub bug reports read as negative
- 93%
“How much of the four months went to keeping up with breaking changes? Thats been my main blocker with zig, more than the language itself.”
Sentiment by platform, bug reports removed
Hacker News has the most negative conversation about developer tools: 19% of non-bug mentions, against 13% on X and Reddit.
Finding 6 · The categories
Frameworks get the warmest talk
net sentiment for frameworks and databases, the highest of eight categories
Developers talk about frameworks and databases more warmly than anything else we tracked. Observability and analytics tools sit close to even, at +2.
Hosting draws the most complaints, with 24% of mentions negative. We publish these numbers by category and never rank single tools.
- net sentiment for observability and analytics
- +2
- negative for hosting, the highest of any category
- 24%
- net sentiment for AI coding tools
- +13
Net sentiment by category
Frameworks and databases get the warmest conversation among developer tools. Observability gets the coolest.
Finding 7 · The noise
Two in three matches miss
of raw keyword matches were about the tool people searched for
We logged 15,408 keyword matches a day across the 48 tools. 4,959 of them were about the tool.
The name decides most of it. Clerk, Linear, Neon and Render all land under 10%, because people use those words for other things every day. Claude Code reaches 74% and Datadog 70%. No invented name fell below 20%.
Octolens AI made these relevance calls, so the rates reflect how our classifier reads each post.
- median for names that are also ordinary words
- 15%
- median for invented names
- 46%
- ordinary-word names are below 20% relevance
- 15 of 24
Keyword relevance by tool
Hover a dot to see the tool
Only 32% of raw keyword matches for 48 developer tools were about the tool. For names that are also ordinary words, the median is 15%.
Finding 8 · The AI share
AI is in a third of it
mentions of non-AI developer tools also bring up AI
We looked at the 42 tools outside AI coding: databases, payments, hosting, observability and the rest. About a third of their mentions also bring up AI, agents or a model by name. Passing references count.
An LLM labeled a random sample of 600 of these mentions, and we reviewed the hard cases by hand. Posts that bring up AI read warmer, at 32% positive against 21%.
Six of the 48 tools are AI coding tools. Together they take 22% of all relevant conversation.
- share, with a range of 33% to 39%
- 36%
- of all conversation goes to six AI coding tools
- 22%
- of AI-related posts are positive, against 21% of the rest
- 32%
“I explained the situation to Claude and let it rip against Grafana logs.”
Sentiment, non-AI tool mentions
About a third of mentions of non-AI developer tools also bring up AI.
Finding 9 · The pairs
The tools people compare
of posts name two of the 48 tools
Claude Code and Cursor lead the list by a clear margin. Most other top pairs are stacks people build on together: Next.js with Vercel, Supabase with Vercel, Next.js with Supabase.
Direct rivals appear lower down, such as Datadog with Grafana and Lovable with Replit.
Posts naming both tools
Claude Code and Cursor are the most co-mentioned pair among 48 developer tools.
Also in the data
Smaller findings
- 90%of the conversation is in English. Japanese comes second at 2.1%, ahead of Spanish at 1.7%.
- 59%of public bug reports land in GitHub issues, more than every other platform combined.
- 42%of Reddit mentions carry product feedback, the highest rate of any platform.
- 32%of replies are positive, against 27% of top-level posts.
The panel
All 48 tools
Mentions per day are minimums for the largest tools, so read the order as a rough guide.
| Tool | Category | Raw matches a day | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | AI coding | 519 | 386 | 74% |
| Datadog | Observability and analytics | 212 | 150 | 70% |
| GitHub Copilot | AI coding | 270 | 184 | 68% |
| Replit | AI coding | 220 | 144 | 66% |
| Cloudflare | Hosting and infrastructure | 490 | 322 | 66% |
| Grafana | Observability and analytics | 256 | 159 | 62% |
| PostHog | Observability and analytics | 217 | 134 | 62% |
| Auth0 | Auth and payments | 88 | 52 | 59% |
| PlanetScale | Databases | 58 | 31 | 54% |
| Supabase | Databases | 346 | 182 | 53% |
| Figma | Team tools | 366 | 191 | 52% |
| Windsurf | AI coding | 139 | 70 | 50% |
| Vercel | Hosting and infrastructure | 372 | 174 | 47% |
| Next.js | Frameworks | 337 | 152 | 45% |
| Raycast | Team tools | 198 | 87 | 44% |
| TypeScript | Languages and runtimes | 454 | 196 | 43% |
| Rust | Languages and runtimes | 585 | 251 | 43% |
| Node.js | Languages and runtimes | 412 | 175 | 42% |
| WorkOS | Auth and payments | 64 | 26 | 41% |
| Svelte | Frameworks | 221 | 86 | 39% |
| MongoDB | Databases | 284 | 110 | 39% |
| New Relic | Observability and analytics | 51 | 20 | 39% |
| Cursor | AI coding | 511 | 195 | 38% |
| Deno | Languages and runtimes | 184 | 69 | 38% |
| Netlify | Hosting and infrastructure | 278 | 102 | 37% |
| Nuxt | Frameworks | 143 | 51 | 35% |
| Fly.io | Hosting and infrastructure | 103 | 33 | 32% |
| Slack | Team tools | 461 | 140 | 30% |
| Stripe | Auth and payments | 437 | 132 | 30% |
| Lovable | AI coding | 353 | 98 | 28% |
| Sentry | Observability and analytics | 332 | 88 | 27% |
| Zig | Languages and runtimes | 403 | 88 | 22% |
| Notion | Team tools | 491 | 100 | 20% |
| Postman | Team tools | 326 | 58 | 18% |
| Angular | Frameworks | 418 | 74 | 18% |
| Railway | Hosting and infrastructure | 472 | 74 | 16% |
| Prisma | Databases | 323 | 49 | 15% |
| Convex | Databases | 311 | 45 | 15% |
| Astro | Frameworks | 349 | 35 | 10% |
| Axiom | Observability and analytics | 341 | 28 | 8% |
| Render | Hosting and infrastructure | 528 | 42 | 8% |
| Bun | Languages and runtimes | 476 | 38 | 8% |
| Linear | Team tools | 462 | 36 | 8% |
| Neon | Databases | 399 | 30 | 8% |
| Clerk | Auth and payments | 393 | 28 | 7% |
| Paddle | Auth and payments | 343 | 24 | 7% |
| Remix | Frameworks | 385 | 19 | 5% |
| Kinde | Auth and payments | 28 | 1 | 3% |
For teams
What to do next
Four changes if people talk about your product online.
Watch GitHub issues
Nearly half of public product questions and most bug reports go there. If your team only tracks social, you miss them.
Developer community monitoringAnswer on X and Reddit
Together they hold about 39% of public product questions, and people ask them in replies you can join.
Reddit monitoringFilter before you count
If your name is also a word, a raw keyword count can be more than 80% noise. Remove it before you compare yourself with competitors.
How Octolens filters mentionsAdd Bluesky to the list
It carries 1.9x the developer-tool conversation of Hacker News, even after a third of its volume is removed as bots.
Bluesky monitoring
Method
How we ran it
What we did
- We ran one search per tool per day for 30 days, September 30 to October 29, 2026. 1,423 of 1,440 tool-days completed.
- We added 5 deeper passes that searched each large tool platform by platform, because a daily search only scores the 100 newest matches.
- Rates come from a pool of 24,252 fully scored mentions. Octolens AI scored each one for relevance, sentiment and topic.
- On Bluesky and Hacker News we flagged automated accounts by handle and posting pattern: status-page relays, job boards, trending feeds and accounts that mirror Hacker News. They made up 33% of relevant Bluesky mentions and under 1% on Hacker News.
- Stack Overflow question counts come from the public Stack Exchange API. In October 2026 the site issued 6,779 post IDs in total, covering questions, answers and removed posts, so deleted posts can't change the picture.
- We set up separate tracking for this study and picked a few of the biggest tools in each of eight categories. Nothing came from customer workspaces or from the keywords our customers track.
What the data can't tell you
- Platform shares and daily volumes are minimums for big tools. GitHub issues, X, Reddit and news hit a limit of about 100 matches per platform per day most often.
- We don't make claims about YouTube or LinkedIn, and podcasts are partial. Our collection skipped YouTube and podcasts on many days, and LinkedIn mentions weren't scored.
- GitHub data means issues. It leaves out pull requests, discussions and code.
- Sentiment and topic shares by platform include automated accounts. On Bluesky, about two in three posts tagged as bug reports came from outage-status bots, so we don't rank Bluesky for bug reports.
- We only see public posts. Discord, Slack and questions asked inside AI assistants don't appear.
- Our panel covers one month, so it shows where conversation sits today. The only trend on this page is Stack Overflow's own question count.
- We make Octolens, and many developer tools use it, so some of the 48 happen to be customers. We publish sentiment by category and platform, and never by tool.
Cite this study
Use the data
Use any chart or number in articles, decks and research. Please link back.
Octolens (2026). State of Developer Conversation 2026. https://octolens.com/report/state-of-developer-conversation-2026
<a href="https://octolens.com/report/state-of-developer-conversation-2026">Octolens State of Developer Conversation 2026</a>
Is there more developer conversation on Bluesky or Hacker News?
By volume, Bluesky. With bots, status feeds and Hacker News mirror accounts removed, Bluesky carried 430 relevant mentions a day about 48 developer tools, against 227 on Hacker News. That is 1.9x the volume. We counted posts, not views, and a single Hacker News front-page thread can reach more readers than hundreds of Bluesky posts.
How much of Bluesky's developer conversation is bots?
About a third. 33% of relevant Bluesky mentions came from status-page relays, job boards, trending-repo feeds and accounts that mirror Hacker News. On Hacker News the share was under 1%.
Is Stack Overflow dead?
As a place to ask new questions, close to it. Stack Overflow received 968 new public questions in October 2026, down 99.5% from 186,031 in October 2015. The archive of 24.2 million questions is still online, and we did not measure how many people read it.
How many questions does Stack Overflow get per month?
968 in October 2026 and 964 in September 2026, according to the public Stack Exchange API. The best month on record is March 2014, with 207,169. These counts leave out deleted questions.
Why did Stack Overflow decline?
Our data shows timing and can't prove a cause. October question counts fell 43% from 2015 to 2022, before ChatGPT launched. They then fell 51%, 56%, 77% and 82% in the four years after it launched.
Where do developers ask questions now?
In public, we found 46% of product questions about the 48 tools in GitHub issues, 20% on X and 19% on Reddit. Questions people ask in ChatGPT, Claude or private chat groups never appear in public data, so we can't count those.
Where do developers hang out online?
For conversation about developer tools, GitHub issues, X and Reddit carried about 72% of the relevant mentions we measured. Bluesky came fourth, with 1.9x the volume of Hacker News after we removed bots.
How did you run this study?
We searched for 48 developer tools every day from September 30 to October 29, 2026 with the Octolens search pipeline, using tracking we set up only for this study. AI scored each match for relevance, sentiment and topic. No data came from customer workspaces. The method section lists what we can and can't claim.
Can I use these numbers?
Yes. The data is licensed under CC BY 4.0. Credit Octolens and link to this page.
7-day free trial
Start listening to your customers today
No credit card required · API access on all plans · Cancel anytime